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Estrela Benfica betting prediction

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the victory of Benfica and the existence of few goals. The Benfica team is going through a moment of confidence and enjoys a squad far superior to the opponent, and is expected that they will dominate and have good chances to score goals. On the other hand, and despite playing in the Portuguese third division, Estrela da Amadora has a very solid defensive sector and in this match they should suffer few goals. In this way, we find it very interesting to risk in favor of the "Benfica Wins and Under 4.5 Goals" market.
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Estrela and Benfica meet at Estádio José Gomes, in a match for this stage of the Taça de Portugal (8th Finals). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Estrela

The home team comes to this stage of the Taça de Portugal (8th Finals) after having eliminated: Anadia, Farense, Lusitano FCV and São Roque (Açores). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 15 matches they register 4 wins and 3 draws in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 2 conceded; against 8 wins at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 1 conceded. They come to this match after a away draw against Rabo Peixe by (0‑0). Estrela has won 8 of the last 8 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last matches. They have been very strong defensively, since they haven't suffered any goals in the last 4 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 7 of the last 8 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 10 of the last 13 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 4 of those 10 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them.

Club Football Estrela, also known as Estrela da Amadora, enters this match with a 0-0 draw, against Rabo Peixe, in a match for the National Senior Championship. In the previous qualifiers of the Portuguese Cup, the home team eliminated São Roque (Azores), Lusitano FCV, Farense and Anadia. In this match against the Eagles, coach Stéphane Jobard should play in the same tactical system as the last match, the 4-4-2, privileging the organization of his block and counterattacks. It should be noted that striker Luis Mota is Club Football Estrela's top scorer with 4 goals scored. There are no major absences for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Filipe Leão, Zé Pedro, Eduardo Ferreira Duarte, Sérgio Conceição, Yuran Lopes, Horácio Jau, Chapi Romano, Latón, Ronald Murillo Montaño, Xavier Fernandes, Paollo Madeira Oliveira.
Coach: Rui Santos.

Analysis Benfica

The away team comes to this stage of the Taça de Portugal (8th Finals) after havinf played in the previous rounds against: Vilafranquense and Paredes. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got a home win against Tondela by (2‑0). In the last 10 away matches Benfica has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 22 of the last 24 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but have turned the score around in 3.

Benfica enters this match with a 2-0 victory against Tondela, returning to the triumphs after the tie against Santa Clara: the goals of the team were signed by Luca Waldschmidt and Haris Seferović. In the previous rounds of the Portuguese Cup, the reds eliminated Paredes and Vilafranquense. Usually the coach Jorge Jesus plays in 4-3-3, favoring the maintenance of ball possession and positional attacks, especially through the runners: Rafa Silva is very fast and expert in the defense-offense transition. For this match, the visiting commander should make several changes taking into account the quality of the opponent and the importance of the next match against FC Porto.

Confirmed Lineup: Helton Leite, Nuno Tavares, Jean-Clair Todibo, Jardel, Andreas Samaris, Chiquinho, Pedrinho, Gonçalo Ramos, Adel Taarabt, Diogo Gonçalves, Haris Seferović.
Coach: Jorge Jesus.

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Taça de Portugal - 2020/2021

  • 99% 163 / 165 Games

  • Home team wins 42.94%
  • Draws 2.45%
  • Away team wins 54.6%
  • Over 1.5 76.07%
  • Over 2.5 56.44%
  • Over 3.5 28.22%
  • Goals 455
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.22
  • Goals /match away 1.57
  • Both teams score 42.33%
  • Goals after 80' 10.99%
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