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Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento betting prediction


Preview
Gimnasia La Plata and Sarmiento face at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in a match for the 17th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 2 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 18‑02‑2016, and ended in a (1‑3) win by Gimnasia La Plata. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 16th and 21th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 20th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis of Gimnasia La Plata

The home team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 4 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Belgrano, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Godoy Cruz, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 9 points in away matches, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded, against 9 points won at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away win against San Lorenzo by (0‑1). In the last 7 home league matches Gimnasia La Plata has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 21 possible. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 19 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Gimnasia y Esgrima has been performing well in the Argentine Championship and is among the top 10 that qualify for the next South American Cup with 50% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that it is 6 points from the zone of qualification for the next Libertadores of America, then it is very important a victory in the next confrontation not to let the top teams escape and open up even greater advantage. The team scored 15 goals, being the twelfth worst attack among the 30 national teams, and conceded 11 goals, having the third defense less leaked and these figures demonstrate the great imbalance between the offensive and defensive sectors, being necessary to adjust in the attack to score more goals and thus effectively get a fight among the first placed. Playing at home, as the match they will make this Saturday, Gimnasia y Esgrima has a 50% advantage and averages of 1 goal scored and 0.88 goals conceded, evidencing that it still needs to be more solid in front of their fans where they won only 3 of 8 games. In the overall competition, counting games at home and away, the team tends to be more efficient offensively in the second half, since 8 of their 15 goals happened in the second stage, especially between the 75 and 90 minutes where 5 goals occurred.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Martín, F. Oreja, L. Licht, M. Romero, M. Guanini, F. Rinaudo, L. Faravelli, R. Carrera, B. Alemán, N. Ibáñez, N. Mazzola.

Analysis of Sarmiento

The away team is currently in the 21th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Tigre, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Aldosivi, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded at home, against 5 goals scored and 6 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home tie against Unión Santa Fe by (1‑1). Their last away match was for the Club Friendlies and ended in a draw by (0‑0) against Unión Santa Fe. In the last 6 away league matches Sarmiento has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 18 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 6 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 16 matches have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Sarmiento has been showing poor performance in the Argentine Championship and is in the bottom half of the qualifying table with 39% of the points played so far and must start scoring more regularly to get out of the uncomfortable situation in which they are. The team scored 16 goals, having the thirteenth best attack among the 30 teams of the competition, and conceded 18 goals, having the ninth most leaked defense and these figures show that it is necessary to adjust both in the offensive system and especially in the defensive system to get up in the standings. Playing as a visitor, as the match they will play this Saturday, Sarmiento has a 33% advantage and averages of 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded per game, showing that away from their domains the scores are usually low. Overall, counting the games both as principal and the visitors, the team used to score more often in the second half, with 9 of their 16 goals taking place in the second stage, especially in the 75-90 minutes with 4 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Chiarini, A. Scifo, G. Cosaro, A. Niz, N. Bianchi Arce, L. Pérez, W. Busse, G. Núñez, P. Vidal, H. Cuevas, G. Di Renzo.

Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be a bit unbalanced, considering that the client is campaigning above expectations and is in the zone of classification for the next South American Cup, while the visitor has presented poor performance and struggles to leave the lower half of the Classification table. Gimnasia y Esgrima is characterized by scoring few goals, but has one of the less leveled defenses of the Argentine Championship, while in the Sarmiento away games there is an average of 2 goals per game and in 7 of the last 10 games as a visitor has occurred at the maximum 2 goals. Given these factors, we believe in a low-intensity offensive game for both sides, few opportunities and few goals. This betting suggestion has expired...
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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento match?

The tip and bet suggestion for the Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento match, on 25 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Ghana, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ odd 1.60 at betfair.

👉 In which stadium will the Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento be played?

The Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento on 25 March 2017 will be played at La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.

 

Primera División - 2016/2017

  • 100% 450 / 450 Games

  • Home team wins 44.22%
  • Draws 26.44%
  • Away team wins 29.33%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 41.33%
  • Over 3.5 18%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.28
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 44.67%
  • Goals after 80' 17.58%
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