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Important analyzes to bet on Over in football

Important analyzes to bet on Over in football
This is one of the most popular markets in bookmakers.
by Academia   |   comments 0
Monday, September 27 2021

If you think big and seek important goals in your life, it is essential to carry some requirements, and discipline is one of them. Virtually every person who walks the path of victories, at some point, had to have a strong, prepared, focused mindset. And then there's the hardest part, which is to keep that spirit.


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In betting this is as important as any other profession, and here we are not talking exclusively about professional bettors, but mainly for those who are beginners or have not yet found a path without major fluctuations in their trajectory. Maybe that's what's missing: discipline.

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The Over market concentrates a large volume of bets on football. After the 1v2 (linear) bets, maybe this is the market that players have the greatest appreciation for, so we'll point out some important details for you to do well in this type of bet.
 
When it comes to Over, we are not necessarily talking about goals, as it is also possible to place bets on corners and cards, for example, but our focus will really be on the ball in the back of the net. In bookmakers there will be a specific over/under market offering several goal lines, from above 0.5 (that is, with 1 goal we have already won a bet) to above 6.5 goals (or more), depending on how it is expected the match to go.
 
But how do you know how many goals will be scored in a game? If we had a way to predict the future, it would be easier, but as this possibility doesn't exist, what remains is a good analysis of the teams and the match, so that the chance of success is the greatest possible.
 
The main thing is to get the statistics of the teams and the competition, and nowadays this is an easy task. The Betting Academy website offers you a complete sheet with various statistical data, including to bet on the over market. Stay tuned mainly for the use of goals scored at home by the home team, as well as the overall advantage, which includes goals scored as well as goals conceded. On the other hand, also analyze the amount of goals that the visiting team usually suffers when they are away from their domains, while seeing if it is a team that usually scores or not in these conditions. See the percentage of this, as this makes it easier to make a comparison with the odds offered by bookmakers.
 
Converting the probabilities, in addition to comparing with the probability of scoring goals through statistical data, you get a more qualitative view if that is a value odd or not. It is important to emphasize this, as many bettors stick to the odd, concluding as too low or too high, in a simplistic way. There is no low odd, as long as it has a good chance of greening.
 
Thus, if we analyze a game, and the odds for Over 2.5 goals is 1.30, we are saying that the chance of having 3 goals or more is approximately 77% (just converting the odd value). In a statistical view of the championship, let's say that analyzing the two teams, it was concluded that there are over 2.5 goals in 82% of the games of the two teams, that is, a very high number, whether due to the excellent offensive performance, or strategic way of acting. In addition, it was seen that the tendency is for teams to be very complete, and both teams have motivations in the championship, making an interesting game.
 
What is the conclusion after all these analyzes and calculations? The odd 1.30 may not be attractive for many, but in this case it is a great betting opportunity, since the 82% of the teams' utilization converted into odds, would be, on average, 1.20.
 
Obviously, this alone is not enough, as a football match is not defined only by the numbers presented so far in the championship. It is also important to assess factors that make all the difference in the final result, such as the lineup trend, the importance of the game, the teams' motivation, as well as the conditions, whether weather or field quality. It may seem quite demanding, but the absence of a player, or a heavy rain, totally changes the course of a match, and also the value of the odds in a bookmaker.

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